Futura vs Gnistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Futura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 0
FUT
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FUT
3 - 1
MPS
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FUT
4 - 2
LAH
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
FCK
3 - 1
FUT
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MIK
4 - 1
FUT
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gnistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GNI
1 - 3
FCK
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LAH
3 - 6
GNI
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GNI
2 - 1
SUD
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LPS
2 - 4
GNI
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GNI
2 - 4
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |