FC Aguilarense vs Villafranca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
53.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aguilarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 2
FUT
49%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RAM
4 - 1
FUT
77%
14%
9%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
FUT
67%
17%
16%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FUT
3 - 5
PRI
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MEN
3 - 2
FUT
48%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
STA
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
ATL
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 6
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |