Ferreiras vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
PIN
2 - 3
FER
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
BEN
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FER
5 - 1
LOU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MAF
2 - 1
FER
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
UDL
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ORI
4 - 2
LOU
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAF
0 - 1
ORI
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ORI
1 - 2
UDL
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SER
1 - 4
ORI
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORI
39%
24%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |