Fuentes vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuentes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FUE
2 - 0
MAL
43%
25%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CFV
2 - 1
FUE
63%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FUE
1 - 1
CDU
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ZAR
2 - 2
FUE
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
HCJ
2 - 1
FUE
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 3
ATC
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAL
4 - 2
CAL
29%
25%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CFV
3 - 3
CAL
53%
23%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GAL
2 - 1
CAL
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |