FK Metta vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
JGV
2 - 1
FSM
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 3
FSM
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 2
FSM
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 0
VAL
6%
15%
80%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
VAL
8%
17%
75%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 3
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |