FK Metta vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
9º
28
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
37.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
AUD
0 - 1
FSM
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 2
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 4
RIG
21%
24%
56%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 4
FSM
8%
14%
78%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 1
FSM
55%
22%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 2
LIE
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 0
FKJ
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
SUP
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |