Frýdlant vs Baník Ostrava II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
17º
16º
55
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 72 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 62 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 60 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 57 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 55 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 55 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 47 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 46 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 42 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 40 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 39 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 33 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
22 | 30 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 30 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 28 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 96% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frýdlant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
UHE
4 - 0
FRY
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FRY
0 - 2
ZNO
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 1
FRY
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRY
2 - 3
HRA
48%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TBB
1 - 4
FRY
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BOI
5 - 2
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BOI
0 - 1
VIK
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
UHE
0 - 3
BOI
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BOI
1 - 1
ZNO
74%
15%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 0
BOI
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |