Girone B Playoffs Girone B. Final

Global 4-2

Frosinone vs Lecce analysis

Frosinone Lecce
66 ELO 69
4.1% Tilt -7.4%
211º General ELO ranking 284º
16º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
36.5%
Frosinone
24.5%
Draw
39%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
Frosinone
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.1%
Win probability
Lecce
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frosinone
-3%
-3%
Lecce

ELO progression

Frosinone
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frosinone
Frosinone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2014
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
62%
21%
17%
64 70 6 0
25 May. 2014
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 1
Pisa SC
PIS
53%
24%
24%
64 61 3 0
18 May. 2014
PIS
Pisa SC
0 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
40%
26%
33%
64 61 3 0
04 May. 2014
PRG
Perugia
1 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
46%
26%
27%
64 64 0 0
27 Apr. 2014
FRO
Frosinone
3 - 0
L'Aquila
LAQ
71%
19%
10%
64 53 11 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2014
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
62%
21%
17%
70 64 6 0
25 May. 2014
LEC
Lecce
2 - 0
Benevento
BEN
55%
22%
23%
69 65 4 +1
18 May. 2014
BEN
Benevento
1 - 1
Lecce
LEC
34%
25%
41%
69 65 4 0
27 Apr. 2014
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
Lecce
LEC
25%
26%
49%
70 60 10 -1
13 Apr. 2014
LEC
Lecce
2 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
60%
23%
18%
70 65 5 0
X