Serie B round 22

Frosinone vs Benevento analysis

Frosinone Benevento
78 ELO 72
-3.9% Tilt -6%
180º General ELO ranking 756º
24º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Frosinone
25%
Draw
22.4%
Benevento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
Frosinone
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.4%
Win probability
Benevento
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frosinone
-9%
-18%
Benevento

Points and table prediction

Frosinone
Their league position
Benevento
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
36
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Frosinone
80
80
100%
Genoa
71
72
100%
SSC Bari
66
66
100%
Parma
60
61
100%
Cagliari
60
60
100%
FC Südtirol
58
58
100%
Reggina
48
53
100%
Venezia
49
49
0%
Palermo FC
49
49
0%
Ascoli
11º
48
48
10º
100%
Modena
10º
48
48
11º
100%
Pisa SC
12º
47
47
12º
0%
Como
13º
47
47
13º
0%
Cittadella
15º
43
43
14º
0%
Ternana Calcio
14º
43
43
15º
0%
Brescia
16º
40
40
16º
0%
Cosenza
17º
40
40
17º
0%
SPAL
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Perugia
19º
37
37
19º
100%
Benevento
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Frosinone
Benevento
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Frosinone
Benevento
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frosinone
Frosinone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
BRE
Brescia
1 - 3
Frosinone
FRO
41%
26%
33%
77 73 4 0
14 Jan. 2023
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 1
Modena
MOD
62%
23%
15%
77 67 10 0
26 Dec. 2022
FRO
Frosinone
3 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
52%
25%
24%
76 69 7 +1
18 Dec. 2022
GEN
Genoa
1 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
43%
27%
30%
77 77 0 -1
11 Dec. 2022
FRO
Frosinone
0 - 0
Pisa SC
PIS
49%
25%
26%
77 73 4 0

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
BEN
Benevento
1 - 2
Genoa
GEN
37%
27%
36%
73 78 5 0
15 Jan. 2023
NUO
Cosenza
1 - 1
Benevento
BEN
20%
27%
53%
73 61 12 0
26 Dec. 2022
BEN
Benevento
0 - 2
Perugia
PRG
58%
23%
18%
74 68 6 -1
18 Dec. 2022
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Benevento
BEN
31%
27%
42%
74 66 8 0
11 Dec. 2022
BEN
Benevento
1 - 0
Cittadella
CTT
54%
25%
21%
74 71 3 0