Frickley Athletic vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frickley Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
HYD
2 - 1
FRI
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FRI
4 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
GLO
2 - 1
FRI
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PRE
0 - 3
FRI
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 2
SHE
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
ILK
2 - 3
LEE
18%
21%
60%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RUS
3 - 0
ILK
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ILK
2 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ILK
0 - 6
HAR
11%
18%
72%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
ILK
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -3 |