Friburguense vs Santa Cruz RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
FRI
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
AME
2 - 0
FRI
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 1
FRI
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 1
SFC
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
OLA
0 - 1
FRI
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SCR
0 - 2
BON
10%
15%
75%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SCR
2 - 3
SER
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
ANG
1 - 2
SCR
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
SCR
2 - 1
AFC
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | +4 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 3
SCR
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +2 |