Fribourg vs Ajoie-Monterri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
60.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
14º
16º
15º
45
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 1
FRI
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
6 - 3
MAT
71%
15%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ROM
3 - 1
FRI
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
BBB
20%
19%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
5 - 0
FRI
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ajoie-Monterri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
DUD
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TAV
2 - 0
FCA
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
LAU
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 1
ROM
65%
19%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 1
FCA
22%
20%
58%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |