Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
11º
6º
51
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HYE
0 - 0
FRE
35%
29%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 3
AUX
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 0
FRE
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
THI
2 - 0
FRE
9%
20%
71%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
AUB
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
CRF
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ONE
0 - 1
GRA
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MGG
1 - 0
GRA
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COU
0 - 2
GRA
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |