National Round 12

Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis

Fréjus St-Raphaël Gazélec Ajaccio
67 ELO 57
-4% Tilt -4.7%
3371º General ELO ranking 5755º
81º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
63.4%
Fréjus St-Raphaël
22.1%
Draw
14.5%
Gazélec Ajaccio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.5%
Win probability
Gazélec Ajaccio
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Gazélec Ajaccio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fréjus St-Raphaël
Fréjus St-Raphaël
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2011
ASB
Beauvais Oise
0 - 1
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
44%
26%
30%
66 63 3 0
30 Sep. 2011
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
2 - 0
QRM
QUE
55%
24%
21%
65 60 5 +1
24 Sep. 2011
ORL
Orléans
0 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
36%
28%
37%
65 62 3 0
20 Sep. 2011
FRE
Fréjus St-Raphaël
2 - 0
Aviron Bayonnais
BAY
67%
21%
12%
65 56 9 0
16 Sep. 2011
NIO
Niort
2 - 0
Fréjus St-Raphaël
FRE
38%
27%
35%
66 62 4 -1

Matches

Gazélec Ajaccio
Gazélec Ajaccio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2011
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
2 - 1
Vannes
VAN
23%
27%
50%
57 68 11 0
01 Oct. 2011
LPS
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
3 - 1
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
45%
28%
28%
58 57 1 -1
24 Sep. 2011
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
0 - 1
Creteil
LUS
35%
28%
37%
58 63 5 0
20 Sep. 2011
LUZ
Luzenac
0 - 0
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
48%
26%
26%
58 58 0 0
16 Sep. 2011
GAZ
Gazélec Ajaccio
1 - 0
Colmar
COL
41%
28%
31%
57 59 2 +1