Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
FRE
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
FCM
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
NÎM
4 - 1
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 3
AJA
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 2
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
VAN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 1
NIO
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 2
ORL
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
2 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |