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Oberliga. Baden-Württemberg, Matchday 12

Freiburger FC vs Bruchsal analysis

Freiburger FC Bruchsal
6 ELO 40
22% Tilt 25%
5034º General ELO ranking 1579º
300º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Freiburger FC
23.9%
Draw
39.9%
Bruchsal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Freiburger FC
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.9%
Win probability
Bruchsal
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburger FC
-7%
-7%
Bruchsal

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Freiberg
35
92
41%
Stuttgarter Kickers
30
91
54%
Göppinger SV
26
68
10%
Bissingen
25
68
7%
Nottingen
23
80
4%
1.FC Rielasingen-Arlen
22
57
6%
Neckarsulmer SU
22
54
6%
Ravensburg
18
65
5%
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
17
47
14º
5%
Villingen
10º
17
43
16º
5%
CfR Pforzheim
11º
15
61
5%
TSG Backnang
12º
15
47
15º
5%
Reutlingen
13º
14
54
10º
5%
Bruchsal
14º
12
54
11º
5%
TSV Ilshofen
15º
11
48
13º
5%
Linx
16º
11
49
12º
5%
Oberachern
17º
10
30
21º
7%
FV Lörrach-Brombach
18º
8
39
19º
7%
Astoria Walldorf II
19º
8
42
17º
7%
Freiburger FC
20º
8
38
20º
7%
Sandhausen II
21º
7
39
18º
7%
Expected probabilities
Freiburger FC
Bruchsal
Champion
0% 2%
Promotion playoffs
0% 1%
Mid-table
71% 76%
Relegation
28% 21%

ELO progression

Bruchsal
BRU
Freiburger FC
FRE
Oberachern
OBE
Nottingen
NOT
Linx
LIN
Sportfreunde Dorfmerkingen
SDO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburger FC
Freiburger FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO FRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2020
LIN
Linx
3 - 2
Freiburger FC
FRE
46%
27%
27%
94 82 -12 -1
03 Oct. 2020
FRE
Freiburger FC
3 - 2
Göppinger SV
GOP
46%
27%
27%
94 90 4 +1
30 Sep. 2020
NEC
Neckarsulmer SU
2 - 1
Freiburger FC
FRE
46%
27%
28%
102 73 -29 -1
26 Sep. 2020
FRE
Freiburger FC
0 - 6
Astoria Walldorf II
AST
41%
28%
31%
104 158 -54 -2
19 Sep. 2020
BIS
Bissingen
2 - 0
Freiburger FC
FRE
45%
27%
28%
105 120 15 -1

Matches

Bruchsal
Bruchsal
1%
X%
2%
ELO BRU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2020
BRU
Bruchsal
0 - 8
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
47%
27%
26%
219 167 52 -2
04 Oct. 2020
FLB
FV Lörrach-Brombach
2 - 1
Bruchsal
BRU
45%
27%
29%
220 119 -101 -1
30 Sep. 2020
BRU
Bruchsal
0 - 2
Freiberg
FRE
47%
27%
26%
221 80 141 -1
26 Sep. 2020
ILS
TSV Ilshofen
2 - 2
Bruchsal
BRU
46%
27%
28%
221 172 -49 0
19 Sep. 2020
BRU
Bruchsal
4 - 1
Sandhausen II
SAN
49%
26%
25%
220 108 112 +1