Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 17

Freiburg U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Greuther Fürth U19
33 ELO 25
13.6% Tilt 21.4%
10295º General ELO ranking 14553º
490º Country ELO ranking 626º
ELO win probability
71.1%
Freiburg U19
16.6%
Draw
12.3%
Greuther Fürth U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.3%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth U19
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-15%
-23%
Greuther Fürth U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Greuther Fürth U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2013
NUR
Nürnberg U19
2 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
15%
19%
66%
35 22 13 0
15 Dec. 2012
FRE
Freiburg U19
2 - 4
Bayern München U19
BYM
35%
24%
41%
36 42 6 -1
24 Nov. 2012
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
3 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
13%
17%
70%
37 20 17 -1
11 Nov. 2012
FRE
Freiburg U19
5 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
STU
83%
12%
5%
36 20 16 +1
04 Nov. 2012
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
1 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
22%
22%
56%
36 27 9 0

Matches

Greuther Fürth U19
Greuther Fürth U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
2 - 2
1860 München U19
MUN
29%
25%
47%
24 32 8 0
25 Nov. 2012
UNT
Unterhaching U19
1 - 1
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
47%
23%
30%
24 25 1 0
17 Nov. 2012
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
0 - 3
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
35%
23%
41%
23 20 3 +1
10 Nov. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 2
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
25%
24%
51%
24 33 9 -1
04 Nov. 2012
FSV
FSV Frankfurt U19
1 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
34%
23%
43%
23 20 3 +1