Oberliga Baden-Wurtemberg Round 33

Freiberg vs TSG Backnang analysis

Freiberg TSG Backnang
34 ELO 29
10.4% Tilt 5.9%
1774º General ELO ranking 5327º
74º Country ELO ranking 260º
ELO win probability
68.6%
Freiberg
16.5%
Draw
14.8%
TSG Backnang

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
Freiberg
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.8%
Win probability
TSG Backnang
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiberg
+76%
+61%
TSG Backnang

ELO progression

Freiberg
TSG Backnang
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiberg
Freiberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2019
LIN
Linx
6 - 3
Freiberg
FRE
21%
20%
59%
36 25 11 0
04 May. 2019
FRE
Freiberg
1 - 2
TSV Ilshofen
ILS
89%
8%
3%
37 20 17 -1
01 May. 2019
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
2 - 2
Freiberg
FRE
21%
22%
57%
37 27 10 0
27 Apr. 2019
FRE
Freiberg
0 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
46%
22%
32%
38 40 2 -1
18 Apr. 2019
NEC
Neckarsulmer SU
1 - 1
Freiberg
FRE
16%
19%
65%
38 26 12 0

Matches

TSG Backnang
TSG Backnang
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2019
TSB
TSG Backnang
2 - 1
Germania Friedrichstal
GFR
61%
19%
20%
28 24 4 0
04 May. 2019
TSB
TSG Backnang
1 - 3
Linx
LIN
63%
19%
19%
29 24 5 -1
01 May. 2019
ILS
TSV Ilshofen
0 - 3
TSG Backnang
TSB
23%
22%
56%
29 21 8 0
27 Apr. 2019
TSB
TSG Backnang
2 - 1
CfR Pforzheim
PFO
54%
22%
25%
28 28 0 +1
18 Apr. 2019
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
0 - 1
TSG Backnang
TSB
83%
11%
6%
26 41 15 +2