Freiberg vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
FVL
0 - 2
FRE
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
FRE
0 - 2
REU
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CRA
1 - 2
FRE
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ULM
13 - 0
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 2
HEI
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 2
ULM
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
HEI
3 - 2
ASV
85%
10%
4%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ASV
1 - 3
FCE
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
WAL
4 - 0
ASV
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 2
SVS
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |