Freetown City vs Kamboi Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
17º
8º
35
6º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 61 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 42 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
54% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 70% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freetown City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
LAM
0 - 0
FRE
6%
20%
74%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
EET
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DIA
2 - 0
FRE
58%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
WSB
1 - 0
FRE
52%
28%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
KAM
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kamboi Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
KAM
0 - 0
EAS
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
CEN
2 - 2
KAM
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
KAM
0 - 0
LUA
90%
9%
2%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
KAM
4 - 2
SLP
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
KAM
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |