Free State Stars vs Pretoria Callies FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 0
FRE
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
FRE
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 0
RIB
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 2
FRE
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pretoria Callies FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
PCF
1 - 1
VFA
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PCF
2 - 0
BLA
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PRE
1 - 2
PCF
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
VFA
3 - 1
PCF
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PCF
1 - 2
PCR
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |