Free State Stars vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 2
PIR
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
FRE
47%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
PAR
38%
24%
39%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
FRE
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 2
PIR
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ECB
1 - 3
PIR
5%
11%
84%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 1
SSU
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
PIR
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 1
POL
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |