Free State Stars vs Black Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BLO
1 - 1
FRE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
GOL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 2
FRE
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 2
FRE
36%
27%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 2
AKJ
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 0
PLS
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 0
BLA
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 0
SSU
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |