Fredrikstad vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MJO
2 - 5
FFK
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
FFK
1 - 1
S08
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
STR
3 - 2
FFK
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
FFK
1 - 1
MOS
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
FFK
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ALT
3 - 1
FOL
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 1
SOG
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOG
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NYB
4 - 1
FOL
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
STR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |