Fredericia vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
11º
8º
7
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
12 | 37 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 37 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 34 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 33 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 31 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 29 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 29 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 28 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 28 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 17 |
12º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
40.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
59.5% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
FRE
3 - 2
SON
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
MID
3 - 3
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FRE
0 - 2
FCK
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SIF
0 - 2
FRE
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 3
FCN
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
RAN
0 - 2
BIF
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
OBK
3 - 2
RAN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
RAN
1 - 0
SIF
40%
24%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 2
RAN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
VEJ
1 - 1
RAN
29%
25%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |