1st Division Round 11

Fredericia vs Næstved analysis

Fredericia Næstved
64 ELO 60
4.7% Tilt 0.8%
695º General ELO ranking 3282º
13º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
46.7%
Fredericia
25%
Draw
28.3%
Næstved

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
Fredericia
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
Næstved
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fredericia
+20%
-25%
Næstved

ELO progression

Fredericia
Næstved
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fredericia
Fredericia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
ROS
Roskilde
2 - 0
Fredericia
FRE
44%
26%
30%
63 62 1 0
18 Sep. 2016
FRE
Fredericia
3 - 2
Vejle BK
VEJ
41%
26%
34%
63 64 1 0
11 Sep. 2016
FCH
FC Helsingør
4 - 0
Fredericia
FRE
49%
25%
26%
64 65 1 -1
07 Sep. 2016
BRA
Brabrand
2 - 4
Fredericia
FRE
33%
26%
41%
63 59 4 +1
04 Sep. 2016
FRE
Fredericia
0 - 0
Hobro
HOB
32%
26%
42%
63 70 7 0

Matches

Næstved
Næstved
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
NAE
Næstved
0 - 1
Fremad Amager
BFR
45%
26%
30%
61 61 0 0
18 Sep. 2016
SKI
Skive
2 - 1
Næstved
NAE
38%
26%
36%
62 59 3 -1
11 Sep. 2016
NAE
Næstved
1 - 3
Vendsyssel
VEN
43%
27%
31%
63 65 2 -1
05 Sep. 2016
LFA
Nykøbing FC
2 - 2
Næstved
NAE
43%
23%
34%
63 62 1 0
01 Sep. 2016
HBK
HB Køge
2 - 2
Næstved
NAE
44%
27%
30%
63 66 3 0