1st Division Round 17

Fredericia vs AC Horsens analysis

Fredericia AC Horsens
65 ELO 70
11.8% Tilt 0.6%
695º General ELO ranking 1352º
13º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
45.4%
Fredericia
25.7%
Draw
28.9%
AC Horsens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Fredericia
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.9%
Win probability
AC Horsens
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fredericia
+13%
+11%
AC Horsens

ELO progression

Fredericia
AC Horsens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fredericia
Fredericia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2010
VEJ
Vejle BK
0 - 2
Fredericia
FRE
58%
22%
20%
65 66 1 0
16 Nov. 2009
AKA
Akademisk Boldklub
0 - 2
Fredericia
FRE
49%
25%
26%
65 65 0 0
08 Nov. 2009
FRE
Fredericia
3 - 0
Næstved
NAE
47%
25%
28%
63 66 3 +2
01 Nov. 2009
THI
Thisted
0 - 0
Fredericia
FRE
33%
26%
41%
64 55 9 -1
25 Oct. 2009
FRE
Fredericia
0 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
71%
18%
11%
65 53 12 -1

Matches

AC Horsens
AC Horsens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2010
ACH
AC Horsens
2 - 1
Lyngby BK
LYN
52%
24%
25%
69 65 4 0
14 Nov. 2009
SKI
Skive
2 - 5
AC Horsens
ACH
27%
25%
48%
68 53 15 +1
08 Nov. 2009
ACH
AC Horsens
4 - 0
Vestsjælland
VES
51%
25%
24%
67 65 2 +1
01 Nov. 2009
KOL
Kolding FC
2 - 3
AC Horsens
ACH
27%
26%
47%
67 53 14 0
25 Oct. 2009
ACH
AC Horsens
4 - 1
Brabrand
BRA
75%
17%
8%
67 50 17 0