Fraserburgh vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 0
TUR
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 2
FRA
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
LOS
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 2
BUC
62%
19%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 4
FRA
10%
17%
73%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 0
STR
94%
5%
2%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAI
1 - 2
FOR
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 1
FOR
67%
18%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 2
BRO
42%
22%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
COV
3 - 2
FOR
63%
19%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |