France U20 vs Portugal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 1
CIV
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
FRA
4 - 1
JAP
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
FRA
2 - 0
COL
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 1
CHL
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2010 |
PRT
1 - 0
BLR
86%
11%
4%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
PRT
1 - 0
CPV
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 6 | 66 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
PRT
4 - 0
ROU
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
PRT
2 - 2
CHI
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
PRT
1 - 2
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |