Francia U19 vs Macedonia del Norte U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
72%
18%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NIR
1 - 1
FRA
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
ISL
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 0
FRA
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia del Norte U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 5
MKD
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 1
MNE
40%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
TUR
4 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
LUX
0 - 1
MKD
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MKD
0 - 1
IRL
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |