Francavilla Calcio vs Herculaneum 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
SSE
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RPO
1 - 0
FRA
39%
26%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
SSM
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
FRA
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
FBC
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 1
TRA
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SSE
0 - 3
AVH
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 0
CYN
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSM
3 - 1
AVH
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AVH
1 - 0
GEL
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |