Fraga vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
NUM
3 - 1
FRA
42%
27%
32%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 0
TAR
83%
12%
5%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
EST
0 - 2
FRA
11%
23%
67%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
BIN
0 - 1
FRA
79%
15%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
FRA
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ICF
1 - 3
BIN
12%
24%
65%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
SAR
1 - 0
ICF
70%
19%
11%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
ICF
0 - 1
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
AND
2 - 0
ICF
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
ICF
0 - 0
BAR
32%
27%
40%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |