Fosses vs Royal Arquet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FOS
4 - 1
JEM
85%
11%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FOS
3 - 2
PES
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOS
2 - 0
BEA
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CON
5 - 2
FOS
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NIS
4 - 2
FOS
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Royal Arquet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ARQ
0 - 3
CHE
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARQ
6 - 4
CON
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 6
GRA
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 0
ARQ
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BIE
5 - 4
ARQ
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |