Forward Madison vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NCO
1 - 3
FMA
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FMA
1 - 1
CRW
38%
28%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
FMA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
FMA
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FMA
1 - 1
NCO
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
OMA
4 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
CVF
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
FMA
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
RIC
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |