Fortuna Wormerveer vs Uitgeest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
8º
14
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Wormerveer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 4
FWO
4%
10%
86%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FWO
1 - 5
HIL
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
FWO
8%
14%
79%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FWO
0 - 0
ASS
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IVV
0 - 1
FWO
7%
12%
81%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Uitgeest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RKS
2 - 0
UIT
34%
22%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UIT
0 - 5
IVV
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AGB
6 - 2
UIT
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UIT
1 - 2
VVK
34%
23%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SVH
6 - 1
UIT
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |