Eredivisie . Jor. 28

Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen analysis

Fortuna Sittard NEC Nijmegen
74 ELO 82
6.7% Tilt 2.3%
829º General ELO ranking 301º
19º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.6%
Fortuna Sittard
23.8%
Draw
51.6%
NEC Nijmegen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
Fortuna Sittard
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.6%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Sittard
+11%
+28%
NEC Nijmegen

Points and table prediction

Fortuna Sittard
Their league position
NEC Nijmegen
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
11º
50
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
88
91
100%
Feyenoord
81
84
100%
Twente
66
69
86.5%
AZ Alkmaar
64
65
86.5%
Ajax
55
58
100%
NEC Nijmegen
50
51
83.5%
Utrecht
49
50
61%
Sparta Rotterdam
46
47
60%
Go Ahead Eagles
43
46
82.5%
Heerenveen
10º
37
38
10º
54.5%
Fortuna Sittard
11º
37
38
11º
43.5%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
48%
Almere City
13º
34
35
13º
49%
Heracles
14º
32
33
14º
61.5%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
27%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
27%
Vitesse
18º
5
23
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Almere City
Heracles
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2024
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
53%
25%
23%
75 79 4 0
20 Mar. 2024
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 0
FC Eindhoven
EIN
62%
20%
18%
74 65 9 +1
16 Mar. 2024
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
37%
25%
38%
74 77 3 0
10 Mar. 2024
AJA
Ajax
2 - 2
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
76%
16%
9%
73 88 15 +1
03 Mar. 2024
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
5 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
51%
24%
26%
72 68 4 +1

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2024
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
3 - 1
PSV
PSV
25%
22%
53%
82 88 6 0
17 Mar. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
44%
24%
32%
82 83 1 0
10 Mar. 2024
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
53%
23%
24%
81 78 3 +1
01 Mar. 2024
VOL
FC Volendam
2 - 5
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
18%
22%
60%
81 65 16 0
27 Feb. 2024
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 2
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
30%
23%
47%
81 71 10 0
X