Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
4 - 1
BVO
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
RJC
3 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FEY
1 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FOR
0 - 2
RKC
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
SCH
1 - 0
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
MVV
1 - 3
SCH
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
SCH
0 - 0
TWE
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
RJC
0 - 2
SCH
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 3
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |