Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
MVV
1 - 0
FOR
35%
26%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 2
FOR
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
0 - 1
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 2
WIL
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
BVO
1 - 0
GRA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
TWE
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
GRA
2 - 1
MVV
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |