Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
61.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
4 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 2
EIN
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 3
FCD
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
VOL
2 - 0
FOR
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
VVV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 0
EIN
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
APE
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |