Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 0
RJC
28%
25%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 2
TWE
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2000 |
PSV
1 - 1
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
WIL
3 - 1
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 3
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 2
VIT
69%
18%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FEY
3 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |