Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
NEC
4 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
5 - 0
FOR
61%
21%
17%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 0
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 1
GAE
23%
22%
55%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
GRO
0 - 0
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
AJA
4 - 3
GAE
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 5
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |