Fortuna Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 1
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 0
LEV
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1976 |
WAT
3 - 1
OSN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
OSN
3 - 1
DJK
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
OSN
3 - 2
BVB
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
OSN
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
OSN
3 - 0
FCM
86%
11%
4%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |