Fortuna Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
WHE
4 - 2
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
AHA
2 - 0
KÖL
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 2
LEV
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
WOL
0 - 3
KÖL
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1977 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ARB
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
STP
3 - 0
LEV
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1977 |
WOL
2 - 2
STP
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
OSN
2 - 2
STP
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1977 |
STP
3 - 2
ARB
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
AAA
1 - 1
STP
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |