Fortuna Köln vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
LEV
0 - 1
KÖL
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
KÖL
0 - 0
LSV
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
TSV
2 - 2
KÖL
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
KÖL
0 - 0
PRE
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
VIK
0 - 0
KÖL
60%
21%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
SWE
3 - 1
BSC
74%
16%
9%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
EID
1 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SWE
3 - 2
ROT
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
F95
3 - 1
SWE
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ROT
5 - 0
SWE
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |