Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 3
KÖL
34%
26%
41%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 2
KÖL
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
KÖL
3 - 2
BAY
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
WIE
0 - 2
KÖL
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
KÖL
4 - 2
VIK
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 1
S04
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
ROT
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 1
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AAA
0 - 2
ROT
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |