Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
USO
0 - 3
KÖL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 1
TEN
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
OSN
2 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
KÖL
1 - 1
AAA
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
KFC
1 - 0
KÖL
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
PRE
1 - 0
WUP
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1978 |
WAT
3 - 0
PRE
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PRE
0 - 1
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1978 |
WHE
0 - 0
PRE
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
PRE
3 - 0
SWE
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |