Fortuna Köln vs Lokomotive Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
EIN
3 - 1
KÖL
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1996 |
KÖL
2 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
STU
0 - 0
KÖL
78%
14%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1996 |
WAL
3 - 3
KÖL
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1996 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WOL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1996 |
HER
1 - 1
LOK
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
LOK
0 - 2
WOL
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
BNE
1 - 1
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
M05
2 - 1
LOK
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
LOK
3 - 1
KFC
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |