Fortuna Köln vs DJK Gütersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 1
BVB
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1976 |
WAT
4 - 3
KÖL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
KÖL
2 - 0
FCM
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 0
KÖL
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
WUP
0 - 1
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
DJK Gütersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1976 |
DJK
1 - 2
WAT
27%
24%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1976 |
DJK
1 - 0
ISC
44%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 1
DJK
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
DJK
2 - 1
AAA
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
DJK
0 - 2
ARB
33%
26%
42%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |