Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
9º
3º
63
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 67 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
75.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
82.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
91.5% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 97.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
F95
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 2
F95
21%
22%
58%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
FCD
2 - 6
F95
12%
16%
72%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
F95
37%
23%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 3
F95
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
STP
2 - 0
KAI
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
OSN
3 - 1
STP
17%
20%
64%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
STP
1 - 1
WEH
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
OSN
1 - 1
STP
12%
18%
69%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 4
STP
8%
14%
78%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |