Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1987 |
F95
0 - 1
EIN
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
F95
0 - 2
KÖL
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
OFC
1 - 3
F95
53%
23%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
F95
3 - 0
AAA
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
1 - 0
F95
37%
25%
37%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
ROT
2 - 1
SCF
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
5 - 1
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
ROT
1 - 3
OFC
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
FCR
1 - 1
ROT
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |